Natural Grocers By Stock Analysis

NGVC Stock  USD 27.03  0.02  0.07%   
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Natural Grocers by extending back to July 25, 2012. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Natural Grocers stands at 27.03, as last reported on the 6th of February, with the highest price reaching 27.74 and the lowest price hitting 26.88 during the day.
IPO Date
25th of July 2012
200 Day MA
41.5898
50 Day MA
37.2562
Beta
1.199
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Natural Grocers by holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.524. At present, Natural Grocers' Net Debt is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Short Term Debt is expected to grow to about 49 M, whereas Long Term Debt is forecasted to decline to about 6.5 M. With a high degree of financial leverage come high-interest payments, which usually reduce Natural Grocers' Earnings Per Share (EPS).

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

Natural Grocers' liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. Natural Grocers' cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps Natural Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect Natural Grocers' stakeholders.
For many companies, including Natural Grocers, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for Natural Grocers by, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, Natural Grocers' management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Price Book
2.9334
Enterprise Value Ebitda
9.999
Price Sales
0.4678
Shares Float
13.7 M
Dividend Share
0.46
At present, Natural Grocers' Stock Based Compensation is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. Sale Purchase Of Stock is expected to grow at the current pace this year, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 24.9 M. . At present, Natural Grocers' Price Book Value Ratio is projected to drop based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is expected to grow to 0.63, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to 21.58.
Natural Grocers by is undervalued with Real Value of 33.9 and Target Price of 54.0. The main objective of Natural Grocers stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Natural Grocers by is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Natural Grocers' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Natural Grocers stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Natural Grocers' ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Natural Grocers by. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.

Natural Stock Analysis Notes

About 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Natural Grocers was now reported as 8.82. The company last dividend was issued on the 2nd of September 2025. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, retails natural and organic groceries, and dietary supplements in the United States. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Lakewood, Colorado. Natural Grocers is traded on New York Stock Exchange in the United States. To find out more about Natural Grocers by contact the company at 303 986 4600 or learn more at https://www.naturalgrocers.com.

Natural Grocers Quarterly Total Revenue

336.14 Million

Natural Grocers by Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Natural Grocers' investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Natural Grocers by or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Natural Grocers by generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Natural Grocers by has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 10th of December 2025 Natural Grocers paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Natural Grocers Releases Fiscal Year 2025 Sustainability Report Celebrating 70 years of Industry Leadership

Natural Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Natural Grocers' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-02-06
2019-12-310.090.08-0.0111 
2017-11-16
2017-09-300.050.060.0120 
2016-11-17
2016-09-300.080.07-0.0112 
View All Earnings Estimates

Natural Grocers Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Natural Grocers' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Natural Grocers' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Natural Grocers' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Natural Grocers' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Natural Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Empirical Finance, Llc2025-06-30
48.3 K
Note, although Natural Grocers' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Natural Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 730.4 M.

Natural Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.03 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.05 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.05.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.08  0.05 
Return On Capital Employed 0.14  0.12 
Return On Assets 0.08  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.25  0.17 

Management Efficiency

Natural Grocers by has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0572 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0572 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.2358 %, meaning that it created $0.2358 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Natural Grocers' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Natural Grocers manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of February 6, 2026, Return On Tangible Assets is expected to decline to 0.05. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is expected to decline to 0.12. At present, Natural Grocers' Other Assets are projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Intangible Assets is expected to grow to about 14.1 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 416.6 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 8.33  4.42 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 7.87  4.17 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 15.11  17.63 
Price Book Value Ratio 4.97  7.67 
Enterprise Value Multiple 15.11  17.63 
Price Fair Value 4.97  7.67 
Enterprise Value912.4 M958.1 M
The leadership approach at Natural Grocers' fosters a culture of excellence and accountability. Our analysis examines how this culture influences financial outcomes and stock valuation.
Dividend Yield
0.0141
Operating Margin
0.0474
Profit Margin
0.0331
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0147
Beta
1.199

Technical Drivers

As of the 6th of February, Natural Grocers secures the Standard Deviation of 2.27, risk adjusted performance of (0.07), and Mean Deviation of 1.79. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Natural Grocers by, as well as the relationship between them.

Natural Grocers by Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was fourty-nine with a total number of output elements of twelve. The Moving Average is predictive technique used to analyze Natural Grocers by price data points by creating a series of averages of different subsets of Natural Grocers entire price series.

Natural Grocers by Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Natural Grocers insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Natural Grocers' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Natural Grocers insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Natural Grocers Outstanding Bonds

Natural Grocers issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Natural Grocers by uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Natural bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Natural Grocers by has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Natural Grocers Predictive Daily Indicators

Natural Grocers intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Natural Grocers stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Natural Grocers Corporate Filings

10Q
5th of February 2026
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
22nd of January 2026
Other Reports
ViewVerify
10K
11th of December 2025
Annual report required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of a company financial performance
ViewVerify
8K
20th of November 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
4th of November 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
29th of October 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
3rd of October 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
27th of August 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Natural Grocers Forecast Models

Natural Grocers' time-series forecasting models are one of many Natural Grocers' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Natural Grocers' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Natural Grocers Bond Ratings

Natural Grocers by financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much Natural Grocers have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for Natural Grocers' borrowing costs.
Piotroski F Score
7
StrongView
Beneish M Score
(8.04)
Unlikely ManipulatorView

Natural Grocers by Debt to Cash Allocation

As Natural Grocers by follows its natural business cycle, the capital allocation decisions will not magically go away. Natural Grocers' decision-makers have to determine if most of the cash flows will be poured back into or reinvested in the business, reserved for other projects beyond operational needs, or paid back to stakeholders and investors.
Natural Grocers by currently holds 332.02 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.52, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Natural Grocers by has a current ratio of 1.0, suggesting that it may not be capable to disburse its financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Natural Grocers' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.

Natural Grocers Common Stock Shares Outstanding Over Time

Natural Grocers Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which Natural Grocers uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

Natural Grocers Debt Ratio

    
  26.0   
It looks as if most of the Natural Grocers' assets are financed through equity. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the Natural Grocers' operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of Natural Grocers, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

Natural Grocers Corporate Bonds Issued

Most Natural bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Natural Grocers by has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Natural Short Long Term Debt Total

Short Long Term Debt Total

400.91 Million

At present, Natural Grocers' Short and Long Term Debt Total is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

About Natural Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Natural Grocers prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Natural shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Natural Grocers. By using and applying Natural Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Natural entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.05  0.03 
Operating Profit Margin 0.05  0.04 
Net Profit Margin 0.03  0.02 
Gross Profit Margin 0.34  0.32 

Current Natural Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Natural analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Natural analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
54.0Strong Sell0Odds
Natural Grocers by current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Natural analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Natural stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Natural Grocers by, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Natural conference calls.
Natural Analyst Advice Details

Natural Stock Analysis Indicators

Natural Grocers by stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Natural Grocers stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Natural Grocers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Natural Grocers stock analysis, traders can identify Natural Grocers position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow8.9 M
Total Stockholder Equity212.4 M
Net Borrowings-3.8 M
Capital Lease Obligations332 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net485.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments17.1 M
Cash17.1 M
50 Day M A37.2562
Net Interest Income-3.1 M
Total Current Liabilities158.8 M
Interest Expense3.1 M
Stock Based CompensationM
Common Stock Shares Outstanding23.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-31 M
Tax Provision12.5 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.25
Other Current AssetsM
Accounts Payable81 M
Net Debt314.9 M
Other Operating Expenses1.3 B
Non Current Assets Total502.4 M
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity670.5 M
Non Currrent Assets Other5.5 M

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When running Natural Grocers' price analysis, check to measure Natural Grocers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natural Grocers is operating at the current time. Most of Natural Grocers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natural Grocers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natural Grocers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natural Grocers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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